Author Archives: Kimmo Soramäki

The Feasibility of Systemic Risk Measurement

A testimony by Andrew Lo for the U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee for its hearing on systemic risk regulation, held October 29, 2009. It proposes two major measures that could alleviate the next big financial crisis. First, new legislation that provides more transparency on a confidential basis to regulators on financial institutions activities. This would [...]
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Informational Properties of Trading Networks

There is a new interesting paper “On the Informational Properties of Trading Networks” by Adamic, Brunetti Harris and Kirilenko using transaction level data for all regular transactions in September 2008 E-mini S&P 500 futures contracts. They construct networks from executed trades and then look at the structure of these networks and relate them to returns, volatility, [...]
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ECB workshop on “Recent advances in modelling systemic risk using network analysis”

European Central Bank (ECB) organized a workshop with the above title last Monday, 5th of October. It was the first event of this scale gathering researchers applying network theory and network analysis on banking, financial stability and systemic risk topics. The introductory remarks to the workshop were given by Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell, Member of the ECB’s [...]
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European Systemic Risk Board to be established

A proposal for a new EU institution, European Systemic Risk Board, was published on 23 September 2009. The proposed body will have the mandate to map financial risks and their concentration at the system level for the macro-prudential supervision of systemic stability. European Union central banks will have a prominent role in it and the Secretariat [...]
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Receipt reactive gross settlement simulator

The Receipt Reactive Gross Settlement (RRGS) method was proposed by Jamie McAndrews in Johnson-McAndrews and Soramaki (2004) as a new, incentive compatible liquidity saving mechanism. The basic idea of RRGS is that banks are sure to use only incoming funds to settle their less urgent payments. Each bank has the incentive to submit payments to [...]
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7th Bank of Finland Simulation seminar

The Bank of Finland’s simulation seminar was organized for the 7th time on 24-26 August 2009. I thought both the talks and the discussions on the agenda this year were of high quality. I presented some work done together with Marco Galbiati on central counterparties and the topology of clearing networks. The conference covered analysis [...]
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Software for identifying interbank loans from payment data

In 1999 Craig Furfine published the article “Interbank exposures: quantifying the risk of contagion” (BIS Working paper, No. 70) where he for the first time used data on individual payments settled in the interbank payment system to construct a time series of the unsecured overnight loan market. The methodology has since been duplicated by numerous [...]
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Is network theory the best hope for regulating systemic risk?

I was recently interviewed for the article by Christopher Wright, now published in the CFA magazine (July/August 2009, Vol. 20, No. 4) and entitled "Six degrees of rumination – Is network theory the best hope for regulating systemic risk?". The article discusses whether and how network theory can be used to develop a "financial network [...]
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Simulation analyses and stress testing of payment networks

The third edition of Bank of Finland series on payment and settlement system simulation studies has been published today. The preliminary versions of the papers have been presented at the annual simulator seminars arranged by the Bank in 2007 and 2008. The main focus of the analyses in this edition is on business continuity arrangements, [...]
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Genetic algorithms in Java

As part of another project I revisited some Java code for developing genetic algorithms (GA). I had programmed them earlier as part of our Agent-based simulations where banks’ decision making evolved through the use of genetic algorithms. I decided to make the general purpose GA code available in case someone finds a use for it. [...]
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